Finance

How Walmart and Amazon’s Stablecoins Challenge Visa and Mastercard

Explore how Walmart and Amazon’s stablecoin ventures could reshape payment systems, impact Visa and Mastercard shares, and what this means for consumers and investors navigating the evolving financial landscape.

Valeria Orlova's avatar
Valeria OrlovaStaff
5 min read

Key Takeaways

  • Walmart and Amazon consider stablecoins to cut credit card fees
  • Stablecoins offer faster, cheaper payment settlements
  • Visa and Mastercard shares dropped over $60 billion amid stablecoin fears
  • Consumer adoption of stablecoins faces hurdles despite merchant interest
  • Regulatory clarity via the GENIUS Act is crucial for stablecoin growth
a visa card being tapped on card machine
Walmart and Amazon Explore Stablecoins

Imagine walking into Walmart or clicking through Amazon, paying with a digital token that’s as steady as the dollar but moves faster and costs less than your usual credit card. That’s the vision behind Walmart and Amazon exploring their own stablecoins — cryptocurrencies pegged to stable assets designed to sidestep the hefty interchange fees paid to Visa and Mastercard. These fees, which topped $32 billion on prepaid and debit cards in 2021 alone, weigh heavily on retailers’ bottom lines. The promise? Instant payment settlements and new revenue streams. But this isn’t just a tech upgrade; it’s a potential shakeup for the entire payments ecosystem. Investors have already reacted, slashing Visa and Mastercard shares by over $60 billion in market value. Yet, experts caution that consumer habits and regulatory hurdles could slow this revolution. Let’s unpack how these retail giants’ stablecoin ambitions might rewrite the rules of commerce and what it means for you and the market.

Exploring Stablecoins’ Promise

Stablecoins are the steady cousins of the cryptocurrency family, designed to keep their value locked to something familiar — often the U.S. dollar. Unlike Bitcoin’s wild price swings, stablecoins aim to be the reliable digital cash for everyday buys. Walmart and Amazon eyeing their own stablecoins isn’t just a tech fad; it’s a strategic move to slash the billions they pour into credit card fees annually. The Federal Reserve pegged interchange fees on prepaid and debit cards at about $32 billion in 2021, a hefty toll that only grows as digital commerce expands.

By issuing stablecoins, these retail giants could bypass banks and card networks, settling payments in seconds rather than days. Imagine the relief of instant cash flow and the thrill of cutting costs simultaneously. Plus, owning their stablecoins opens doors to earning interest on the deposits backing these tokens — a fresh revenue stream beyond sales. This isn’t just about saving pennies; it’s about rewriting the playbook on how high-volume merchants handle money.

Disrupting Visa and Mastercard

Visa and Mastercard have long been the gatekeepers of card payments, raking in billions from interchange fees and transaction volumes. But whispers of Walmart and Amazon’s stablecoin plans sent shockwaves through Wall Street, wiping over $60 billion from these giants’ combined market value in a single day. Shares of Mastercard plunged as much as 6.2%, while Visa tumbled over 7.1%, marking their worst drop in months.

Yet, beneath the panic lies a more nuanced story. Analysts like Andrew Jeffrey of William Blair urge investors to see this dip as a buying opportunity, noting that stablecoins aren’t yet ready to dethrone credit and debit cards in everyday consumer commerce. Consumers love their credit card perks and the convenience of monthly billing — habits that won’t vanish overnight. Visa and Mastercard have also been proactive, integrating stablecoin capabilities to stay relevant. The real battle is less about immediate disruption and more about how these payment titans adapt to a future where instant, low-cost payments become the norm.

Navigating Consumer Adoption Challenges

The idea of paying with stablecoins sounds futuristic, but convincing shoppers to swap their credit cards for digital tokens is a tall order. Unlike credit cards, which let you buy now and pay later, stablecoins require customers to hold the tokens upfront — much like prepaid cards. This shift demands a change in spending habits, which consumers often resist.

Experts like Baird’s David Koning highlight that people appreciate credit card rewards and protections, making stablecoins less appealing for everyday use. Plus, the logistics of moving cash into stablecoins before shopping adds friction. Retailers might need to sweeten the deal with discounts or rewards to lure customers into this new payment world. Until then, stablecoins may find their footing in niche areas like cross-border payments or emerging markets, rather than replacing cards at your local checkout.

Regulatory Roadblocks and Opportunities

Stablecoins don’t operate in a vacuum — they’re under the watchful eye of regulators who want to ensure safety and compliance. The U.S. Senate’s GENIUS Act aims to provide a clear framework for private companies issuing stablecoins, setting rules on collateral backing and anti-money laundering measures. This bill has passed an initial vote and is moving toward full debate, signaling growing government interest.

For Walmart, Amazon, and others, regulatory clarity is crucial. Without it, stablecoin projects risk running into legal hurdles that could stall or derail their ambitions. The GENIUS Act could be the referee that balances innovation with consumer protection, paving the way for broader adoption. Until then, the stablecoin landscape remains a mix of promise and uncertainty, with lawmakers and industry players watching closely.

Broader Industry Ripple Effects

Walmart and Amazon aren’t lone pioneers; other giants like Expedia and airlines are also eyeing stablecoin initiatives. Even major banks — JPMorgan, Bank of America, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo — have discussed joint stablecoin projects, hinting at a wider institutional embrace. This signals a potential tectonic shift in how commerce and finance intertwine.

For traditional banks and payment networks, the rise of stablecoins threatens lucrative interchange fees and the ability to leverage deposits for lending. Yet, some analysts believe Visa and Mastercard stand to benefit by integrating stablecoin tech into their platforms. The payments world is at a crossroads, balancing disruption with adaptation. For consumers and investors alike, this evolving story offers a front-row seat to the future of money.

Long Story Short

Walmart and Amazon stepping into the stablecoin arena signals more than just a new payment option — it’s a challenge to the status quo of credit card dominance. By cutting out costly intermediaries, these retail titans aim to speed up transactions and save billions, potentially reshaping how we pay. But the road ahead is paved with questions: Will shoppers embrace pre-funded digital tokens over the familiar swipe-and-pay? Can regulators craft clear rules fast enough to support innovation without chaos? And how will Visa and Mastercard adapt to this new landscape? While the market’s knee-jerk reaction sent shares tumbling, analysts see opportunity amid uncertainty. For consumers, the shift could mean faster checkouts and new incentives, but also a learning curve. For investors, it’s a moment to watch how tradition and technology collide in the payments world. The stablecoin story is unfolding — and it’s one worth following closely.

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Core considerations

Stablecoins promise faster, cheaper payments but face steep consumer habit hurdles and regulatory uncertainties. The massive drop in Visa and Mastercard shares reflects market jitters, yet experts caution that widespread stablecoin adoption in consumer payments remains distant. Retail giants’ stablecoin moves highlight merchants’ power to push banks toward cheaper, instant payments, but the transition won’t be seamless. Regulatory frameworks like the GENIUS Act will be pivotal in shaping this new payment frontier.

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Our take

Stablecoins are more than a tech trend—they’re a merchant-driven push to reshape payments. But don’t expect your wallet to ditch cards overnight. Retailers will need to make stablecoins irresistible to shoppers, and regulators must clear the path. Investors eyeing Visa and Mastercard dips should remember these giants’ resilience and adaptability. Keep an eye on how stablecoins evolve from niche tools to mainstream options.

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